Projected lineups
Italy should keep a compact defensive line with controlled buildup through midfield pivots.
Croatia are likely to rely on central passing triangles and late box occupation.
Match prediction
The expected-goals spread is narrow. A 1-0 Italy result remains the top single-score scenario.
How to watch
This match can be timing-sensitive by region, so verify local kickoff conversion in advance.
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Control of second balls will shape this game more than possession totals.